Football Betting

NL Central: Pirates' purge won't be like years past

Baseball Betting Lines

07/30/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The final few days of July are almost always antsy ones for veteran players of the Pittsburgh Pirates, not to mention an absolute nightmare for the organization's media relations staff, equipment managers and clubhouse attendants.

For once, the Pirates won't be using the upcoming non-waiver trade deadline as a midseason roster overhaul designed to shed salary and collect cheaper and younger personnel. While the team is still likely to make a few cost-cutting moves over the next couple of days, this year's makeover shouldn't resemble some of the infamous fire sales Pittsburgh has held in previous years.

Although it has yet to reflect in the overall results, the Pirates have finally been able to assemble a promising young core that's at least offered a glimmer of hope to a franchise in search of its first winning season since 1992. With prospects such as Andrew McCutchen, Garrett Jones, Pedro Alvarez, Neil Walker and Jose Tabata all holding their own at the major-league level, plus another wave of talent developing in a much-improved farm system, there's far less of a need for a dramatic renovation such as last year, when general manager Neal Huntington shipped off five members (outfielders Nate McLouth and Nyjer Morgan, first baseman Adam LaRoche, second baseman Freddy Sanchez, shortstop Jack Wilson) of the Opening Day lineup between June 3 and the July 31 deadline.

"This year, we've got some guys that we're not real motivated to move," general manager Neal Huntington told pirates.com on Monday. "If we get a good baseball trade, then we'll make it. But we're beyond the prospect-collection mode, and we're trying to move forward with this group."

Huntington still has a few chips he may be willing to part with in an effort to further accelerate Pittsburgh's ever-rebuilding process. Octavio Dotel has done a capable job as the team's closer and could intrigue contenders seeking seasoned bullpen help, as may fellow relievers Javier Lopez and D.J. Carrasco. Outfielder Ryan Church and infielder Bobby Crosby, both free agents at season's end, will likely draw some interest as well from clubs looking to fortify their bench.

OSWALT GONE, BERKMAN NEXT FOR ASTROS?

The Houston Astros dealt away one of the franchise's most successful pitchers with Thursday's trade of ace Roy Oswalt to the Philadelphia Phillies. There's speculation that one of the team's most accomplished hitters may be on the move as well.

FoxSports.com's Ken Rosenthal reported on Thursday that the Astros have begun to field offers for longtime first baseman Lance Berkman and will consider trading the five-time All-Star, who's probably headed to free agency in 2011 with an expensive $15 million team option looming. The 34-year-old is hitting just .245 this season but has turned it on of late, going 5-for-10 with five RBI in Houston's just-completed three-game series with the Chicago Cubs and slugging a grand slam to key Tuesday's 6-1 win.

The Astros appear more willing to part with Berkman, a native Texan who's spent his entire 12-year career in Houston, after acquiring highly-regarded first-base prospect Brett Wallace Thursday as an offshoot of the Oswalt swap. The club sent minor league outfielder Anthony Gose, part of the package the Phillies sent for Oswalt's services, to Toronto to obtain Wallace, a former first-round pick of St. Louis who was batting .301 with 18 homers and 61 RBI for the Blue Jays' Triple-A affiliate in Las Vegas.

Wallace, incidentally, has now been traded three times in deals involving marquee players. The 23-year-old was one of three players sent by the Cardinals to Oakland last July for All-Star outfielder Matt Holliday, then moved to Toronto this past winter in the elaborate four-team transaction that also involved former Cy Young Award winners Roy Halladay and Cliff Lee.

Houston also received starting pitcher and 2009 National League Rookie of the Year runner-up J.A. Happ from the Phillies and will start the left-hander in Oswalt's originally-scheduled spot when the Astros began a home series with Milwaukee on Friday. Happ went 12-4 with a 2.93 earned run average in 35 games (23 starts) to help Philadelphia to last year's World Series, but has been limited to only three starts this season due to a forearm injury.

"I hope to be a part of their future and help turn things around there," said Happ of the Astros. "It's nice to go to a team that wants you. I want to go down there and pitch well and see what happens."

NO SHAKEUP IN STORE FOR BREWERS

The Milwaukee Brewers were expected to be one of the central players during this year's deadline, with the team possessing two of the most desired hitters potentially available on the trade market. However, a lack of acceptable offers and a recent winning spree have forced the Brewers to rethink their position on first baseman Prince Fielder and right fielder Corey Hart.

General manager Doug Melvin had been entertaining calls on the two sluggers in recent weeks, but it appears no team was able or willing to meet Milwaukee's high asking price on both players. The Brewers are under no urgency to make a trade as well, with Fielder and Hart each not eligible for free agency until 2012.

Both will be in line for sizeable salary increases as arbitration eligibles next season, however, and with the Brewers not much of a factor in the NL Central race, it was believed the team would aggressively seek to move at least one of the two while their value was at its highest. Hart has had an especially strong season, batting .292 and ranking among the league leaders in home runs (22) and RBI (70).

Fielder, coming off a monster 46-homer, 141-RBI campaign in 2009, will be difficult for the budget-conscious Brewers to retain when he becomes a free agent following the 2011 season. However, the team could still look to trade the stocky cleanup hitter over the winter, and Milwaukee has yet to concede anything in the playoff race with two full months still left to play. Although the Brewers trail Cincinnati by nine games for the NL Central lead, they've gone 11-6 since July 9 and put together a five-game winning streak earlier this week.

"I don't anticipate anything happening," Melvin told the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel Thursday in regards to the trade deadline. "Things can change, but that's the way it looks now. I don't have to trade players."

BATS GO COLD AS CARDINALS LOSE LEAD

With Brad Penny and Kyle Lohse still a long ways from returning to the rotation, the St. Louis Cardinals were believed to be targeting a starting pitcher to add to their formidable trio of Chris Carpenter, Adam Wainwright and Jaime Garcia. But considering how the defending world champions have struggled at the plate over the past week, finding a proven bat may become general manager John Mozeliak's highest priority at the deadline.

St. Louis has lost five of seven following a season-high eight-game winning streak from July 11-21 and has been shut out three times over that rough stretch. The Cardinals have mustered a total of just 19 runs during that time period, but nearly half of that amount came in an 8-7, 13-inning triumph over the New York Mets on Wednesday. St. Louis erupted for six first-inning runs against Mets standout Johan Santana in that game, then scored just one time over the next 11 frames before breaking through on Albert Pujols' go-ahead single in the 13th.

The Cardinals failed to build off that encouraging showing, though, mustering a mere four hits off knuckleballer R.A. Dickey in a 4-0 setback to New York on Thursday. The loss put St. Louis a half-game behind idle Cincinnati for first place in the NL Central.

St. Louis had been counting on a return to health from third baseman David Freese to add a needed spark to the lineup, but the talented rookie's recovery from a sprained right ankle was pushed back at least two more weeks after he dropped a weight on his left big toe while working out earlier this month. The 27-year-old, who's batting .296 with 36 RBI in 70 games, has been out since June 27 with the initial injury.

The Cardinals were rumored to be in the market for Baltimore third baseman Miguel Tejada, but the former American League MVP was traded to NL West- leading San Diego on Thursday.

FIRST-PLACE REDS BACK TO BASHING

The Cincinnati Reds' usually-potent offense also went through a brief sputtering phase earlier this week, as the current division leaders followed up a shutout loss to Houston on Sunday by managing only six hits in a 3-2 defeat at Milwaukee the next night. The Reds had little trouble getting on the board over the remainder of their series with the Brewers, however, with Dusty Baker's squad generating a combined 22 runs in taking the final two games.

Cincinnati battered Brewers pitching for 19 hits in Tuesday's 12-4 rout, with third baseman Scott Rolen leading the charge with a 4-for-4, three-RBI performance at the plate. The Reds got a late start in Wednesday's finale, as Milwaukee starter Chris Narveson began the game with five scoreless innings, but erupted for five runs in the sixth en route to a 10-2 triumph.

The two-day barrage added to Cincinnati's NL-leading total of 506 runs for the season. The Reds also top the Senior Circuit in batting average (.272) and trail only Milwaukee for the most home runs in the league.

Cincinnati's productive lineup isn't solely about the long ball, however, as the Milwaukee series proved. None of the Reds' 19 hits in Tuesday's game were homers, and Wednesday's sixth-inning outburst was aided by a surprise suicide- squeeze bunt from catcher Ryan Hanigan that brought in a run.

"You go into some ballparks and some lineups, and they're all home run threats," outfielder Jonny Gomes told the Reds' official site after Thursday's verdict. "But I think we're deeper than that. We've got some situational hitters. You saw the squeeze. The top of our lineup is going to get on, and we're going to run. We'll go from first to third and steal bags as well. I don't think we're just home run threats."

The Reds do boast the NL's current home run leader in first baseman Joey Votto, who belted his 26th round-tripper of the year in the finale. The 2010 All-Star went 7-for-11 with five runs scored over the final two games to raise his league-best average to .322.

CUBS' RAMIREZ FINALLY CATCHING FIRE

This 2010 season hasn't been a memorable one for either the Chicago Cubs or Aramis Ramirez, but the veteran third baseman is certainly showing signs of ending the year on a very positive note.

After enduring a horrendous slump over the season's first two-plus months, Ramirez has been raking all throughout July. In 22 games so far this month, the two-time All-Star is batting .326 (29-for-89) with nine home runs and 25 RBI.

The 32-year-old was swinging a particularly hot bat during a home series with Houston from July 19-21. Ramirez went 6-for-13 with four homers and a whopping 10 RBI over the three-games, which helped earn the right-handed slugger the NL's Player of the Week Award. Three of those long balls came during a wild 14-7 win on July 20, with Ramirez knocking in seven runs to help bring Chicago back from an early 7-1 deficit.

Ramirez's hot streak has raised his 2010 average to a still-subpar .224, more than 60 points lower than the .286 career mark he brought into this season. But considering he was hitting a woeful .162 with just 10 extra-base hits between April and May, it's clear the accomplished cleanup hitter has taken a big step in the right direction.

"I never went through something like that before, and I don't have an explanation for it," Ramirez recently told the Cubs' official site. "I guess it can happen to anybody. The only thing you can do is keep showing up and keep working and it will turn around."

Ramirez became the first Cubs player to be named NL Player of the Week since controversial pitcher Carlos Zambrano accomplished the feat for games played between September 8-14, 2008.

Zambrano, incidentally, is expected to rejoin the Cubs for this weekend's series at Colorado after serving a team-issued month-long suspension for a dugout meltdown in a June 25 game against the White Sox. The unpredictable right-hander will be used in a relief role at the outset of his reinstatement.


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College Football Betting Tips From a Pro

While the NFL is the sport wagered on the heaviest, college football betting lines has become more and more popular as people realize it’s a game that can be beat. The NCAA football season gets longer each year with the addition of numerous bowl games and with that comes more opportunities for more money in your pocket, if handled correctly.

Betting on college football is not the same as with the NFL, so make sure you separate the two. Because of the vast number of teams, the parity between college football programs is slight and thus, you are going to see some high numbers in the NCAA. Teams favored by more than 40 points are not uncommon especially early in the season when teams playing their non-conference schedules.

The best advice when trying to tackle these enormous spreads and is to just stay away. A team that is favored by 40 points is favored by that many for a reason while teams getting 40 points are bad enough that they shouldn’t be touched. Set yourself a spread limit. Getting rid of these games will cut down on the number of contests that you need to handicap while staying away from backdoor or front-door covers.

What is a backdoor and front-door cover you ask? A backdoor cover is a team that is getting beat by more than the spread, but scores late to get within that number thus covering the spread. A front-door cover is just the opposite where the favorite scores late and covers the number they are favored by.

These front-door and backdoor covers are common when second and third string players enter games in college football and it can be the worst nightmare for some bettors. These players can also be your best friend, but ask any bettor and he will give you more instances on losing in this situation than winning. It just seems to work out that way even though everything evens out in the end.

College football betting has some of the softest lines of any sport and it’s being able to find these lines that will make you a successful college football handicapper. The NFL and NBA have the tightest lines around and while those sports can be beat by looking at situations and systems, college football doesn’t quite work that way. It’s much more manual, but when done correctly, it’s much more gratifying as well.

Getting into the nuts and bolts of college football means looking at the many stats in order to beat the number. As opposed to pro football, college football is less dependent on situations and angles and more on certain statistics. Rushing offense and defense, pass efficiency offense and defense and turnover margins are huge. These are vital in the NFL, but even more so when it comes to college football.

Being able to run the ball in college football has always been a key factor in the overall success of a team. The same adage also goes for teams who have the ability to stop the run. Putting these two factors together can produce some positive results in a team’s record both straight up and against the spread. These numbers show huge differences in teams and the spread may not take those into effect, which is where the value comes into play.

Passing yardage numbers both for and against can be a misinterpreted statistic. However, pass efficiency has always been one of the best ways to look at a teams’ passing game ability both offensively and defensively. But is it really a true indication of how they perform? I wouldn’t say so since they are raw passing numbers with nothing else taken into consideration.

I use pass efficiency ratings when doing my handicapping but I adjust my numbers based on a number of factors including power ratings, strength of schedules, personnel and injuries. This gives a much better picture of a team’s ability to pass effectively and also being able to defend the pass. Tweaking pass efficiency stats instead of raw passing yards is the key.

Turnovers are the single most frustrating, and at times the most gratifying, aspect of a college football lines, mostly because they are so unpredictable. They are part of the game and most of the time nothing can be done to control them. However, turnovers are contagious and they can carry over from game to game and season to season.

It’s important to know how to forecast these unforeseen events and how to use them to your advantage. You can find ways to give yourself an edge by looking at past histories of teams and coaches and how they have fared in turnover wars in the past. Instead of turnovers hurting you at the wrong times, find ways to use them to your advantage.

As you can see, college football handicapping is very labor intensive and isn’t just based on where teams are ranked in the AP and coaches polls. Experience, coaching and match-ups are all important since unlike the NFL, college teams turn over much more often with new personnel at most positions every single year. Keeping current on this information is vital.

Betting NCAA football can be lucrative if done correctly, but more importantly, it’s just plain enjoyable because it can be beat. College football is one of the best sports to watch with some of the best rivalries taking place in all of sports. The only downfall is that a championship isn’t decided on the field but on a computer-based system that is the Bowl Championship Series. That will change someday and we will all be better off for it.

To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your NCAA college football betting needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.